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1.
Commun Med (Lond) ; 4(1): 67, 2024 Apr 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38582941

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Genomic surveillance is crucial for monitoring malaria transmission and understanding parasite adaptation to interventions. Zambia lacks prior nationwide efforts in malaria genomic surveillance among African countries. METHODS: We conducted genomic surveillance of Plasmodium falciparum parasites from the 2018 Malaria Indicator Survey in Zambia, a nationally representative household survey of children under five years of age. We whole-genome sequenced and analyzed 241 P. falciparum genomes from regions with varying levels of malaria transmission across Zambia and estimated genetic metrics that are informative about transmission intensity, genetic relatedness between parasites, and selection. RESULTS: We provide genomic evidence of widespread within-host polygenomic infections, regardless of epidemiological characteristics, underscoring the extensive and ongoing endemic malaria transmission in Zambia. Our analysis reveals country-level clustering of parasites from Zambia and neighboring regions, with distinct separation in West Africa. Within Zambia, identity by descent (IBD) relatedness analysis uncovers local spatial clustering and rare cases of long-distance sharing of closely related parasite pairs. Genomic regions with large shared IBD segments and strong positive selection signatures implicate genes involved in sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and artemisinin combination therapies drug resistance, but no signature related to chloroquine resistance. Furthermore, differences in selection signatures, including drug resistance loci, are observed between eastern and western Zambian parasite populations, suggesting variable transmission intensity and ongoing drug pressure. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings enhance our understanding of nationwide P. falciparum transmission in Zambia, establishing a baseline for analyzing parasite genetic metrics as they vary over time and space. These insights highlight the urgency of strengthening malaria control programs and surveillance of antimalarial drug resistance.


Malaria is caused by a parasite that is spread to humans via mosquito bites. It is a leading cause of death in children under five years old in sub-Saharan Africa. Analysis of the malaria parasite's complete set of DNA (its genome) can help us to understand transmission of the disease and how this changes in response to different strategies to control the disease. We analyzed the genomes of malaria parasites from children across Zambia. Our study revealed that 77% of children harbored multiple parasite strains, which suggests that local transmission (transmission between people within the same local area) is high. Genetic evidence for long-distance transmission was rarer. Furthermore, our findings suggest parasites are evolving in response to antimalarial drugs. Our study enhances our understanding of malaria dynamics in Zambia and may help to inform strategies for improved surveillance and control.

2.
PLoS One ; 19(3): e0297385, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38551928

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In alignment with the Measles and Rubella (MR) Strategic Elimination plan, India conducted a mass measles and rubella vaccination campaign across the country between 2017 and 2020 to provide a dose of MR containing vaccine to all children aged 9 months to 15 years. We estimated campaign vaccination coverage in five districts in India and assessed campaign awareness and factors associated with vaccination during the campaign to better understand reasons for not receiving the dose. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Community-based cross-sectional serosurveys were conducted in five districts of India among children aged 9 months to 15 years after the vaccination campaign. Campaign coverage was estimated based on home-based immunization record or caregiver recall. Campaign coverage was stratified by child- and household-level risk factors and descriptive analyses were performed to assess reasons for not receiving the campaign dose. Three thousand three hundred and fifty-seven children aged 9 months to 15 years at the time of the campaign were enrolled. Campaign coverage among children aged 9 months to 5 years documented or by recall ranged from 74.2% in Kanpur Nagar District to 90.4% in Dibrugarh District, Assam. Similar coverage was observed for older children. Caregiver awareness of the campaign varied from 88.3% in Hoshiarpur District, Punjab to 97.6% in Dibrugarh District, Assam, although 8% of children whose caregivers were aware of the campaign were not vaccinated during the campaign. Failure to receive the campaign dose was associated with urban settings, low maternal education, and lack of school attendance although the associations varied by district. CONCLUSION: Awareness of the MR vaccination campaign was high; however, campaign coverage varied by district and did not reach the elimination target of 95% coverage in any of the districts studied. Areas with lower coverage among younger children must be prioritized by strengthening the routine immunization programme and implementing strategies to identify and reach under-vaccinated children.


Assuntos
Sarampo , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão) , Humanos , Lactente , Criança , Adolescente , Estudos Transversais , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão)/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Sarampo/uso terapêutico , Vacinação , Vacina contra Rubéola/uso terapêutico , Índia/epidemiologia , Programas de Imunização
3.
Vaccine ; 42(7): 1424-1434, 2024 Mar 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38326131

RESUMO

Evaluating vaccine-related research is critical to maximize the potential of vaccination programmes. The WHO Immunization and Vaccine-related Implementation Research Advisory Committee (IVIR-AC) provides an independent review of research that estimates the performance, impact and value of vaccines, with a particular focus on transmission and economic modelling. On 11-13 September 2023, IVIR-AC was convened for a bi-annual meeting where the committee reviewed research and presentations across eight different sessions. This report summarizes the background information, proceedings and recommendations from that meeting. Sessions ranged in topic from timing of measles supplementary immunization activities, analyses of conditions necessary to meet measles elimination in the South-East Asia region, translating modelled evidence into policy, a risk-benefit analysis of dengue vaccine, COVID-19 scenario modelling in the African region, therapeutic vaccination against human papilloma virus, the Vaccine Impact Modelling Consortium, and the Immunization Agenda 2030 vaccine impact estimates.


Assuntos
Sarampo , Vacinas , Humanos , Comitês Consultivos , Organização Mundial da Saúde , Vacinas/uso terapêutico , Vacinação , Imunização
4.
medRxiv ; 2024 Feb 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38370674

RESUMO

Genomic surveillance plays a critical role in monitoring malaria transmission and understanding how the parasite adapts in response to interventions. We conducted genomic surveillance of malaria by sequencing 241 Plasmodium falciparum genomes from regions with varying levels of malaria transmission across Zambia. We found genomic evidence of high levels of within-host polygenomic infections, regardless of epidemiological characteristics, underscoring the extensive and ongoing endemic malaria transmission in the country. We identified country-level clustering of parasites from Zambia and neighboring countries, and distinct clustering of parasites from West Africa. Within Zambia, our identity by descent (IBD) relatedness analysis uncovered spatial clustering of closely related parasite pairs at the local level and rare cases of long-distance sharing. Genomic regions with large shared IBD segments and strong positive selection signatures identified genes involved in sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and artemisinin combination therapies drug resistance, but no signature related to chloroquine resistance. Together, our findings enhance our understanding of P. falciparum transmission nationwide in Zambia and highlight the urgency of strengthening malaria control programs and surveillance of antimalarial drug resistance.

5.
Vaccine ; 2024 Jan 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38212202

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) encourages countries to provide appropriate vaccinations for children, adolescents, and relevant adult populations. Childhood programme have been the focus of global investments, but recent pandemics have increasingly demonstrated the value of life course vaccination. Our objective is to compare national life course immunization programmatic maturity prior to mass COVID-19 vaccine introduction, the largest adult vaccination programme, globally. As coverage estimates (typically used to assess childhood programmes) are not available for adult vaccinations, this analysis pilots a standardized quantitative metric of programmatic maturity. METHODS: Through consultation with vaccination experts, we developed a standardized approach to assess national immunization programme maturity across the life course. In accordance with expert input, five vaccines were selected to represent delivery across the life course: diphtheria tetanus toxoid and pertussis (DTP); measles (MCV) second dose; human papillomavirus (HPV) final dose; pneumococcal conjugate (PCV) final dose; and seasonal influenza annual dose. Experts recommended inclusion of the following indicators for each vaccine: a legal mandate (national policy), experience delivering the vaccine (programme duration), and vaccine use (uptake for relevant populations). We developed a metric accordingly that provides up to 5 points per vaccine ("vaccine specific maturity score") which when summed forms the "life course maturity score", with a maximum score of 25. We analysed the prevalence of national policies, experience, and use by region and World Bank income group. RESULTS: More than 55% of the 194 WHO Member States had childhood vaccine policies for all three of the vaccines considered (DTP, MCV, and PCV) compared to 60% for HPV (proxy for adolescent vaccination programme) and 52% for seasonal influenza (proxy for adult vaccination programme). Childhood vaccination programmes (e.g., MCV and DTP) had the highest vaccine specific maturity scores, while seasonal influenza and HPV vaccination programmes had much lower scores. The national life course maturity scores ranged from 1 to 23, with a global median of 12 (IQR: 8; 16). DISCUSSION: The piloted metric provides an overview of the maturity of life course immunization programmes. The metric is structured to be a flexible, rapid resource that can be used to assess other combinations of vaccines across the life course. The findings from this paper provide a baseline of immunization programme maturity for childhood, adolescent, and adult vaccination programmes immediately prior to the COVID-19 vaccine introduction. This maturity score, or adaptations of this approach, could be used to monitor the trajectory of national immunization programme maturity across the life course in the years ahead.

6.
Vaccine ; 2024 Jan 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38216440

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: During the COVID-19 pandemic, nearly all countries introduced COVID-19 vaccination programmes. Yet, countries had a wide range of programmatic experiences. This analysis aims to identify national characteristics associated with COVID-19 vaccination programmatic success. METHODS: We used the following outcome measures: the presence of national COVID-19 vaccination capacities and COVID-19 coverage as of December 2021, June 2022, and December 2022. We developed a standardized metric for assessing national COVID-19 vaccination capacities as a proxy for speed of introduction. We developed this metric through adaptation of the WHO Guide for Conducting an Expanded Programme on Immunization Review and consultations with technical experts specializing in vaccine introduction and emergency deployment; monitoring and data; childhood, adolescent and adult programmes; and COVID-19 vaccination roll-out. Through multivariable linear regressions, we evaluated whether having a mature immunization programme for children, adolescents and adults; recent use of emergency vaccination; World Bank income classification; past early adoption of new vaccines; density of the health workforce; and/or trust in science and government were associated with higher COVID-19 vaccination capacities and coverage. RESULTS: The COVID-19 vaccination capacities scores ranged from 0 to 5 points with a global median score of 2 and an interquartile range of 1;4. After adjusting for World Bank income classifications, the presence of a mature influenza vaccination programme was independently correlated with statistically significant higher scores of national COVID-19 vaccination capacities and higher COVID-19 vaccination coverage in December 2021, June 2022, and December 2022. Trust in government was also associated with higher coverage for all three time stamps. CONCLUSIONS: As countries consider how to prepare for and respond to future pandemics, having an adult seasonal influenza vaccination programme, building trust in government, and ensuring equitable access to vaccines supply emerged as key aspects that can benefit from additional national and global focus.

7.
mBio ; 15(2): e0305623, 2024 Feb 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38132724

RESUMO

Apicomplexa encompasses a large number of intracellular parasites infecting a wide range of animals. Cyclic nucleotide signaling is crucial for a variety of apicomplexan life stages and cellular processes. The cyclases and kinases that synthesize and respond to cyclic nucleotides (i.e., 3',5'-cyclic guanosine monophosphate and 3',5'-cyclic adenosine monophosphate) are highly conserved and essential throughout the parasite phylum. Growing evidence indicates that phosphodiesterases (PDEs) are also critical for regulating cyclic nucleotide signaling via cyclic nucleotide hydrolysis. Here, we discuss recent advances in apicomplexan PDE biology and opportunities for therapeutic interventions, with special emphasis on the major human apicomplexan parasite genera Plasmodium, Toxoplasma, Cryptosporidium, and Babesia. In particular, we show a highly flexible repertoire of apicomplexan PDEs associated with a wide range of cellular requirements across parasites and lifecycle stages. Despite this phylogenetic diversity, cellular requirements of apicomplexan PDEs for motility, host cell egress, or invasion are conserved. However, the molecular wiring of associated PDEs is extremely malleable suggesting that PDE diversity and redundancy are key for the optimization of cyclic nucleotide turnover to respond to the various environments encountered by each parasite and life stage. Understanding how apicomplexan PDEs are regulated and integrating multiple signaling systems into a unified response represent an untapped avenue for future exploration.


Assuntos
Criptosporidiose , Cryptosporidium , Dietilestilbestrol/análogos & derivados , Animais , Humanos , Diester Fosfórico Hidrolases/genética , Nucleotídeos Cíclicos , Inibidores de Fosfodiesterase/uso terapêutico , Filogenia , GMP Cíclico , 3',5'-AMP Cíclico Fosfodiesterases
9.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 3(8): e0001840, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37531325

RESUMO

Accurately quantifying the burden of malaria over time is an important goal of malaria surveillance efforts and can enable effective targeting and evaluation of interventions. Malaria surveillance methods capture active or recent infections which poses several challenges to achieving malaria surveillance goals. In high transmission settings, asymptomatic infections are common and therefore accurate measurement of malaria burden demands active surveillance; in low transmission regions where infections are rare accurate surveillance requires sampling large subsets of the population; and in any context monitoring malaria burden over time necessitates serial sampling. Antibody responses to Plasmodium falciparum parasites persist after infection and therefore measuring antibodies has the potential to overcome several of the current obstacles to accurate malaria surveillance. Identifying which antibody responses are markers of the timing and intensity of past exposure to P. falciparum remains challenging, particularly among adults who tend to be re-exposed multiple times over the course of their lifetime and therefore have similarly high antibody responses to many Plasmodium antigens. A previous analysis of 479 serum samples from individuals in three regions in southern Africa with different historical levels of P. falciparum malaria transmission (high, intermediate, and low) revealed regional differences in antibody responses to P. falciparum antigens among children under 5 years of age. Using a novel bioinformatic pipeline optimized for protein microarrays that minimizes between-sample technical variation, we used antibody responses to Plasmodium antigens as predictors in random forest models to classify samples from adults into these three regions of differing historical malaria transmission with high accuracy (AUC = 0.99). Many of the most important antigens for classification in these models do not overlap with previously published results and are therefore novel candidate markers for the timing and intensity of past exposure to P. falciparum. Measuring antibody responses to these antigens could lead to improved malaria surveillance.

10.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 42(8): 1091-1099, 2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37549331

RESUMO

Malaria is a leading global health problem that was responsible for an estimated 619,000 deaths worldwide in 2021. We modeled the return on investment (ROI) for the introduction and continuation of a four-dose malaria vaccine, RTS,S/AS01, from 2021 to 2030 in twenty sub-Saharan African countries supported by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance. We used the Decade of Vaccine Economics benefits and costing outputs to calculate an ROI using health impact data modeled by the Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (hereafter "Swiss") and Imperial College London (hereafter "Imperial"). The Swiss estimates with a base vaccine price of US$7.00 resulted in an ROI of 0.42, and the Imperial impact estimates with the same base vaccine price resulted in an ROI of 2.30. Inclusion of the fifth seasonal dose for ten countries exhibiting high seasonal disease burden increased the Swiss ROI by 143 percent, to 1.02, and the Imperial ROI by 23.5 percent, to 2.84. To improve ROI, decision makers should continue to improve delivery platforms, decrease vaccine delivery costs, deliver the malaria vaccine in fewer doses, and provide access to vaccine resources.


Assuntos
Vacinas Antimaláricas , Malária , Humanos , Malária/prevenção & controle , Saúde Pública , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , África Subsaariana
11.
Malar J ; 22(1): 208, 2023 Jul 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37420265

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Understanding temporal and spatial dynamics of malaria transmission will help to inform effective interventions and strategies in regions approaching elimination. Parasite genomics are increasingly used to monitor epidemiologic trends, including assessing residual transmission across seasons and importation of malaria into these regions. METHODS: In a low and seasonal transmission setting of southern Zambia, a total of 441 Plasmodium falciparum samples collected from 8 neighbouring health centres between 2012 and 2018 were genotyped using molecular inversion probes (MIPs n = 1793) targeting a total of 1832 neutral and geographically informative SNPs distributed across the parasite genome. After filtering for quality and missingness, 302 samples and 1410 SNPs were retained and used for downstream population genomic analyses. RESULTS: The analyses revealed most (67%, n = 202) infections harboured one clone (monogenomic) with some variation at local level suggesting low, but heterogenous malaria transmission. Relatedness identity-by-descent (IBD) analysis revealed variable distribution of IBD segments across the genome and 6% of pairs were highly-related (IBD ≥ 0.25). Some of the highly-related parasite populations persisted across multiple seasons, suggesting that persistence of malaria in this low-transmission region is fueled by parasites "seeding" across the dry season. For recent years, clusters of clonal parasites were identified that were dissimilar to the general parasite population, suggesting parasite populations were increasingly fragmented at small spatial scales due to intensified control efforts. Clustering analysis using PCA and t-SNE showed a lack of substantial parasite population structure. CONCLUSION: Leveraging both genomic and epidemiological data provided comprehensive picture of fluctuations in parasite populations in this pre-elimination setting of southern Zambia over 7 years.


Assuntos
Malária Falciparum , Malária , Parasitos , Animais , Humanos , Plasmodium falciparum/genética , Malária Falciparum/parasitologia , Zâmbia/epidemiologia , Análise Espacial , Genômica
12.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 109(2): 248-257, 2023 08 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37364860

RESUMO

Zambia's National Malaria Elimination Program transitioned to Fludora Fusion in 2019 for annual indoor residual spraying (IRS) in Nchelenge District, an area with holoendemic malaria transmission. Previously, IRS was associated with reductions in parasite prevalence during the rainy season only, presumably because of insufficient residual insecticide longevity. This study assessed the impact of transitioning from Actellic 300CS to long-acting Fludora Fusion using active surveillance data from 2014 through 2021. A difference-in-differences analysis estimated changes in rainy season parasite prevalence associated with living in a sprayed house, comparing insecticides. The change in the 2020 to 2021 dry season parasite prevalence associated with living in a house sprayed with Fludora Fusion was also estimated. Indoor residual spraying with Fludora Fusion was not associated with decreased rainy season parasite prevalence compared with IRS with Actellic 300CS (ratio of prevalence ratios [PRs], 1.09; 95% CI, 0.89-1.33). Moreover, living in a house sprayed with either insecticide was not associated with decreased malaria risk (Actellic 300CS: PR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.86-1.10; Fludora Fusion: rainy season PR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.89-1.25; dry season PR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.99-1.48). In contrast, each 10% increase in community IRS coverage was associated with a 4% to 5% reduction in parasite prevalence (rainy season: PR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.97; dry season: PR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.94-0.99), suggesting a community-level protective effect, and corroborating the importance of high-intervention coverage.


Assuntos
Inseticidas , Malária , Humanos , Zâmbia/epidemiologia , Controle de Mosquitos , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Malária/parasitologia
13.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 109(1): 134-137, 2023 07 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37127270

RESUMO

Obtaining accurate malaria surveillance data is challenging in low-transmission settings because large sample sizes are required to estimate incidence and prevalence precisely. Serology is an additional tool to document progress toward malaria elimination. An enzyme immunoassay to Plasmodium falciparum lysate was used to estimate age-specific seroprevalence among residents of southern Zambia, where malaria transmission has declined to pre-elimination levels during the past two decades. Plasma was eluted from 3,362 dried blood spots collected during five cross-sectional surveys conducted between 2009 and 2012, and again in 2018. Annual seroconversion rates (SCRs), an estimate of the force of infection, were calculated using a reversible catalytic model. The SCR decreased by two thirds from a level of approximately 0.15/year in 2009 and 2010 to approximately 0.05/year in 2011 and 2012, and then decreased 5-fold to 0.01/year by 2018, demonstrating the utility of serology in documenting progress toward elimination.


Assuntos
Malária Falciparum , Malária , Humanos , Plasmodium falciparum , Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/prevenção & controle , Zâmbia/epidemiologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Estudos Transversais , Soroconversão , Malária/epidemiologia , Fatores Etários
14.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 3(5): e0000554, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37130089

RESUMO

Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic for both populations and healthcare systems are vast. In addition to morbidity and mortality from COVID-19, the pandemic also disrupted local health systems, including reductions or delays in routine vaccination services and catch-up vaccination campaigns. These disruptions could lead to outbreaks of other infectious diseases that result in an additional burden of disease and strain on the healthcare system. We evaluated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Zambia's routine childhood immunization program in 2020 using multiple sources of data. We relied on administrative vaccination data and Zambia's 2018 Demographic and Health Survey to project national disruptions to district-specific routine childhood vaccination coverage within the pandemic year 2020. Next, we leveraged a 2016 population-based serological survey to predict age-specific measles seroprevalence and assessed the impact of changes in vaccination coverage on measles outbreak risk in each district. We found minor disruptions to routine administration of measles-rubella and pentavalent vaccines in 2020. This was in part due to Zambia's Child Health Week held in June of 2020 which helped to reach children missed during the first six months of the year. We estimated that the two-month delay in a measles-rubella vaccination campaign, originally planned for September of 2020 but conducted in November of 2020 as a result of the pandemic, had little impact on modeled district-specific measles outbreak risks. This study estimated minimal increases in the number of children missed by vaccination services in Zambia during 2020. However, the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 transmission since our analysis concluded means efforts to maintain routine immunization services and minimize the risk of measles outbreaks will continue to be critical. The methodological framework developed in this analysis relied on routinely collected data to estimate disruptions of the COVID-19 pandemic to national routine vaccination program performance and its impact on children missed at the subnational level can be deployed in other countries or for other vaccines.

15.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 367, 2023 May 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37259032

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: As countries move towards or achieve measles elimination status, serosurveillance is an important public health tool. However, a major challenge of serosurveillance is finding a feasible, accurate, cost-effective, and high throughput assay to measure measles antibody concentrations and estimate susceptibility in a population. We conducted a systematic review to assess, characterize, and - to the extent possible - quantify the performance of measles IgG enzyme-linked assays (EIAs) compared to the gold standard, plaque reduction neutralization tests (PRNT). METHODS: We followed the PRISMA statement for a systematic literature search and methods for conducting and reporting systematic reviews and meta-analyses recommended by the Cochrane Screening and Diagnostic Tests Methods Group. We identified studies through PubMed and Embase electronic databases and included serologic studies detecting measles virus IgG antibodies among participants of any age from the same source population that reported an index (any EIA or multiple bead-based assays, MBA) and reference test (PRNT) using sera, whole blood, or plasma. Measures of diagnostic accuracy with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were abstracted for each study result, where reported. RESULTS: We identified 550 unique publications and identified 36 eligible studies for analysis. We classified studies as high, medium, or low quality; results from high quality studies are reported. Because most high quality studies used the Siemens Enzygnost EIA kit, we generate individual and pooled diagnostic accuracy estimates for this assay separately. Median sensitivity of the Enzygnost EIA was 92.1% [IQR = 82.3, 95.7]; median specificity was 96.9 [93.0, 100.0]. Pooled sensitivity and specificity from studies using the Enzygnost kit were 91.6 (95%CI: 80.7,96.6) and 96.0 (95%CI: 90.9,98.3), respectively. The sensitivity of all other EIA kits across high quality studies ranged from 0% to 98.9% with median (IQR) = 90.6 [86.6, 95.2]; specificity ranged from 58.8% to 100.0% with median (IQR) = 100.0 [88.7, 100.0]. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence on the diagnostic accuracy of currently available measles IgG EIAs is variable, insufficient, and may not be fit for purpose for serosurveillance goals. Additional studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of measles EIAs, including MBAs, should be conducted among diverse populations and settings (e.g., vaccination status, elimination/endemic status, age groups).


Assuntos
Sarampo , Humanos , Testes de Neutralização/métodos , Técnicas Imunoenzimáticas , Vírus do Sarampo , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Anticorpos Antivirais , Imunoglobulina G
17.
Stat Med ; 42(9): 1445-1460, 2023 04 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36872556

RESUMO

Protein microarrays are a promising technology that measure protein levels in serum or plasma samples. Due to their high technical variability and high variation in protein levels across serum samples in any population, directly answering biological questions of interest using protein microarray measurements is challenging. Analyzing preprocessed data and within-sample ranks of protein levels can mitigate the impact of between-sample variation. As for any analysis, ranks are sensitive to preprocessing, but loss function based ranks that accommodate major structural relations and components of uncertainty are very effective. Bayesian modeling with full posterior distributions for quantities of interest produce the most effective ranks. Such Bayesian models have been developed for other assays, for example, DNA microarrays, but modeling assumptions for these assays are not appropriate for protein microarrays. Consequently, we develop and evaluate a Bayesian model to extract the full posterior distribution of normalized protein levels and associated ranks for protein microarrays, and show that it fits well to data from two studies that use protein microarrays produced by different manufacturing processes. We validate the model via simulation and demonstrate the downstream impact of using estimates from this model to obtain optimal ranks.


Assuntos
Análise Serial de Proteínas , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Simulação por Computador , Análise de Sequência com Séries de Oligonucleotídeos
18.
Vaccines (Basel) ; 11(3)2023 Mar 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36992192

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Measles-rubella supplementary immunization activities (MR-SIAs) are conducted to address inequalities in coverage and fill population immunity gaps when routine immunization services fail to reach all children with two doses of a measles-containing vaccine (MCV). We used data from a post-campaign coverage survey in Zambia to measure the proportion of measles zero-dose and under-immunized children who were reached by the 2020 MR-SIA and identified reasons associated with persistent inequalities following the MR-SIA. METHODS: Children between 9 and 59 months were enrolled in a nationally representative, cross-sectional, multistage stratified cluster survey in October 2021 to estimate vaccination coverage during the November 2020 MR-SIA. Vaccination status was determined by immunization card or through caregivers' recall. MR-SIA coverage and the proportion of measles zero-dose and under-immunized children reached by MR-SIA were estimated. Log-binomial models were used to assess risk factors for missing the MR-SIA dose. RESULTS: Overall, 4640 children were enrolled in the nationwide coverage survey. Only 68.6% (95% CI: 66.7%, 70.6%) received MCV during the MR-SIA. The MR-SIA provided MCV1 to 4.2% (95% CI: 0.9%, 4.6%) and MCV2 to 6.3% (95% CI: 5.6%, 7.1%) of enrolled children, but 58.1% (95% CI: 59.8%, 62.8%) of children receiving the MR-SIA dose had received at least two prior MCV doses. Furthermore, 27.8% of measles zero-dose children were vaccinated through the MR-SIA. The MR-SIA reduced the proportion of measles zero-dose children from 15.1% (95% CI: 13.6%, 16.7%) to 10.9% (95% CI: 9.7%, 12.3%). Zero-dose and under-immunized children were more likely to miss MR-SIA doses (prevalence ratio (PR): 2.81; 95% CI: 1.80, 4.41 and 2.22; 95% CI: 1.21 and 4.07) compared to fully vaccinated children. CONCLUSIONS: The MR-SIA reached more under-immunized children with MCV2 than measles zero-dose children with MCV1. However, improvement is needed to reach the remaining measles zero-dose children after SIA. One possible solution to address the inequalities in vaccination is to transition from nationwide non-selective SIAs to more targeted and selective strategies.

19.
Discov Soc Sci Health ; 3(1): 3, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36824432

RESUMO

Background: Factors associated with whether individuals choose to participate in serosurveys are not well understood. Understanding perceptions from multiple perspectives, including the perspectives of both data collectors and participants, through a holistic model such as the socio-ecological model contextualizes individual, interpersonal, and structural level influences on survey research participation. We used a multiple methods approach to characterize reasons for serosurvey participation in communities in Southern Province, Zambia where a serosurvey was conducted in 2016. Methods: The first phase conducted focus group discussions and in-depth interviews with 24 data collectors who participated in a measles-rubella serosurvey in 2016. The second phase surveyed 34 caregivers at health facilities to identify barriers and facilitators to serosurvey participation. Emergent themes were then classified into a socio-ecological model using individual, interpersonal, and structural level constructs. Results: Common themes emerged from data collectors as well as caregivers surveyed. At the individual level, providing incentives was a facilitator, and some religious beliefs were described as a barrier to serosurvey participation. At the interpersonal level, family dynamics and community peer influences could help or hinder serosurvey participation. Community health workers were consistently named as facilitators of participation. At the structural level, concerns about specimen collection, who was selected for serosurveys, and not receiving test results arose as potential barriers. The most frequently reported facilitator was provision of information about the purpose of the serosurvey (85% of respondents). The most frequently reported barrier was lack of clarity regarding use of their blood specimen (53% of respondents). For specimen collection type, caregivers consistently preferred finger prick blood collection over both venous blood draw and oral swabs. Conclusion: Serosurvey participation was deemed acceptable to most study participants. The socio-ecological model revealed barriers and facilitators for participation to guide strategies to improve participation which can be applied to ongoing serosurveys for SARS-CoV-2. Serosurveys should continue to develop engagement plans to provide information about blood collection ahead of the serosurvey and communicate the objectives of such studies through trusted sources such as community health workers and traditional leaders.

20.
Pediatr Infect Dis J ; 42(6): 489-495, 2023 06 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36795584

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Remarkable progress has been made in expanding access to services addressing the pediatric HIV epidemic, including programs to prevent mother-to-child transmission, early diagnosis and treatment for children living with HIV. Few long-term data are available from rural sub-Saharan Africa to assess implementation and impact of national guidelines. METHODS: Results from 3 cross-sectional studies and 1 cohort study conducted at Macha Hospital in Southern Province, Zambia from 2007 to 2019 were summarized. For infant diagnosis, maternal antiretroviral treatment, infant test results and turnaround times for results were evaluated by year. For pediatric HIV care, the number and age of children initiating care and treatment, and treatment outcomes within 12 months were evaluated by year. RESULTS: Receipt of maternal combination antiretroviral treatment increased from 51.6% in 2010-2012 to 93.4% in 2019, and the proportion of infants testing positive decreased from 12.4% to 4.0%. Turnaround times for results returning to clinic varied but were shorter when labs consistently used a text messaging system. The proportion of mothers receiving results was higher when a text message intervention was piloted. The number of children living with HIV enrolled into care and the proportion initiating treatment with severe immunosuppression and dying within 12 months decreased over time. CONCLUSIONS: These studies demonstrate the long-term beneficial impact of implementing a strong HIV prevention and treatment program. While expansion and decentralization brought challenges, the program succeeded in decreasing the rate of mother-to-child transmission and ensuring that children living with HIV benefit from access to life-saving treatment.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Lactente , Criança , Humanos , Feminino , Estudos de Coortes , Infecções por HIV/diagnóstico , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Zâmbia/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Hospitais de Distrito , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas/prevenção & controle , Antirretrovirais/uso terapêutico
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